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A fair coin is tossed 400 times. Using normal approximation to the binomial, find the probability that a head will occur a) More than 180 times b) Less than 195 times

To solve this problem using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, we can first calculate the mean (μ) and standard deviation (σ) of the binomial distribution using the formulas:

[ \mu = np ]
[ \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} ]

Where:

  • ( n ) is the number of trials (400 in this case),
  • ( p ) is the probability of success on each trial (0.5, as it’s a fair coin toss).

Using these formulas, we can calculate ( \mu ) and ( \sigma ):

[ \mu = 400 \times 0.5 = 200 ]
[ \sigma = \sqrt{400 \times 0.5 \times (1 – 0.5)} = \sqrt{100} = 10 ]

Now, we can use the normal distribution to approximate the probabilities:

a) More than 180 times:
We want to find ( P(X > 180) ). To use the normal approximation, we need to standardize the value:

[ z = \frac{x – \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{180 – 200}{10} = -2 ]

Using the standard normal distribution table or calculator, we find that the probability of ( Z > -2 ) is approximately 0.9772.

b) Less than 195 times:
We want to find ( P(X < 195) ). Again, we standardize the value:

[ z = \frac{x – \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{195 – 200}{10} = -0.5 ]

Using the standard normal distribution table or calculator, we find that the probability of ( Z < -0.5 ) is approximately 0.3085.

Therefore:
a) The probability of getting more than 180 heads is approximately ( 0.9772 ).
b) The probability of getting less than 195 heads is approximately ( 0.3085 ).

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